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2009/8/17开始的星象 －环球市场开始普跌
Review and Preview
Last week began one of the most intense bands of geocosmic signatures for this year. Last week also witnessed many world equity markets making new highs for this year. In many cases, these indices are now up over 50% from their lows of last March. Being up over 50% and lasting at least 5 months is our criteria for a bull market within the context of the 4-year cycle. That has now been satisfied, strongly suggesting that last March was the 4-year cycle trough. However, not all indices made new highs last week. Some fell short of their highs formed the prior week, and thus we may be seeing the development of an intermarket bearish divergence pattern, if most indices closed in the lower third of next week’s range.
In Europe, the Netherlands AEX, British FTSE, and Swiss SMI indices all made new highs for this year on Thursday or Friday. However the German DAX index fell slightly short of its yearly high formed the previous week on Friday, August 10, giving a potential intermarket bearish divergence alert for European indices.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, new yearly highs were attained on Friday in both the Japanese Nikkei and Australian All Ords indices. That was not the case, though, with the Hang Seng of Hong Kong or the NIFTY index of India, which made their yearly highs back on August 4, thus creating a potential case of intermarket bearish divergence in this region too.
In the Americas, only Brazil’s Bovespa made a new yearly high last week (Thursday). The Dow Jones and NASDAQ came close, forming double tops on Wednesday to their yearly highs of the prior week. The Merval came close on Friday too, but then sold off into the close. Thus we have the potential for intermarket bearish divergence patterns in each of our three major world regions. If these markets close in the lower third of their range this coming week, it will be considered a valid sell signal.
Gold and Silver also exhibited a possible intermarket bearish sell signal, as Silver made a new cycle high on Friday at 1518, while Gold could not exceed its high of the previous week. The same was true with Crude Oil.
As stated last week, “We are about to enter one of the most potentially explosive geocosmic bands of the year. Starting this Monday, August 10, and lasting through August 26, there will be nine important geocosmic signatures occurring…But it goes even beyond that, because these Level One signatures involve the explosive planets Mars, Jupiter and Uranus. You may remember from previous columns that any time there is a cluster of signatures involving these three planets in any combination, the possibility of very large price swings is great… The significance of these signatures is apt to show up in mundane matters too. Although we never know what types of events to expect from Uranus (it rules surprises), we do know that earthquakes, tornadoes, hurricanes, high winds and storms, as well as terrorist strikes, airplane disasters, and electrical outages have happened before under similar configurations.” Last week witnessed a typhoon that killed over 100 in Taiwan, two earthquakes in Asia, the first hurricane of the season, and wildfires in California. The midpoint of this geocosmic cluster doesn’t even hit until August 18, which is also the date that Mars will square Uranus, perhaps the most dangerous of all the signatures in this time band.
In addition to these numerous geocosmic signatures, we also find heliocentric Mercury starting its transit through Sagittarius, August 14-26. This is a period when large price swings are also in evidence, especially in precious metals and currencies. Usually precious metals are bullish for 3-9 days in this interval. If you are a short-term trader who likes volatility and large price swings in short amounts of time, then this coming week may be ideal for you. If you like things calm and under control, it may be better to stand aside and not trade this week. |
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发表于 2009-8-17 21:23
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