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楼主: hefeiddd

一个笨蛋的股指交易记录-------地狱级炒手

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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:10 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
EUR and CHF have not confirmed the beginning of the local strengthening of USD, they preferred to strengthen themselves instead.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.


2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

The price has specified a local downtrend, the lower edge of the upward trend channel has not been violated yet. That is why upward correction may form.

Figure 3. Final 30 min chart.

GBP made me happy this week. More than 300 pips of yesterday's expected fall (see Daily-141107) are added to 600 pips from wave [w] high (see Daily-131107).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2-2.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is forming in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

According to the renewed variant of wave counting wave [w] ending may form soon.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 15, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:11 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Unfortunately, wave picture of the dollar currency pairs is multi-directional.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Wave [w] soon completion is expected.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price completed the local downtrend, supposing forming of upward corerction.
GBP made me happy this week, more than 1000 pips of expected fall (see Daily-131107 and Daily-141107).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2-2.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is forming in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Wave [w] soon completion is expected.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 16, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:12 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Wave picture of the dollar currency pairs is multi-directional and contradictory.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Wave [w] soon completion is expected. If the expected USD local strengthening is not confirmed the excepted scenario may be changed.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

The price has completed downward zigzag a-b-c of (a), which supposes that upward correction (b) may form. Though it is possible that supposed wave (a) is turning into a downward wedge.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2-2.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is forming in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Wave [w] soon completion is expected. If the expected USD local strengthening is not confirmed the excepted scenario may be changed.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 19, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:12 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The structure of the current wave constructions supposes soonest short-term price movement against the dollar.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Wave [w] soon completion is expected. If the expected USD local strengthening is not confirmed the excepted scenario may be changed.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Supposedly horizontal triangle [4] is forming. Once it is completed price upward thrust (wave [5]) is expected, its hight may be compared to the hight of the triangle. Wave [5] may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

The price has completed downward zigzag a-b-c of (a), which supposes that upward correction (b) may form. Though it is possible that supposed wave (a) is turning into a downward wedge.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Supposedly upward zigzag a-b-c of (b) is forming with wave b of (b) in the shape of the horizontal triangle. Once the triangle is completed price upward thrust (wave c of (b)) is expected, its hight may be equal or even more than the first leg of the zigzag.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 20 min chart. Variant 3-2.

The second leg c of (b) of the supposed zigzag may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2-2.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is forming in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Wave [w] soon completion is expected. If the expected USD local strengthening is not confirmed the excepted scenario may be changed.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Forming diagonal construction may be either a diagonal triangle (5) or a skewed triangle (4).
In the first case wave (4) is completed. Wave 3 of (5) of diagonal triangle (5) has formed. It is shorter than wave 1 of (5), which supposes the shortest fifth wave 5 of (5). It may be only a zigzag (ordinary or double) and its wave should not exceed 116 pips.
In the second case completing wave (4) is a skewed triangle and further downward wave (5) may assume the shape of the impulse or diagonal triangle without and restrictions of its length.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 20, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:13 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Yesterday's supposition about possible short-term trading against the dollar was confirmed (see Daily-201107). It is probable that the price will complete the ending of this movement this week.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price thrust after the horizontal triangle has reached 100% mark, confirming the unique feature of the horizontal extended corrections (see part 3.8 of my book and Daily-201107).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price thrust after the horizontal triangle has reached 100% mark, confirming the unique feature of the horizontal extended corrections (see part 3.8 of my book and Daily-201107).
Downward wedge (a) may be forming.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 20 min chart. Variant 3-2.

The second leg c of (b) of the supposed zigzag is assuming the shape of the impulse and approximately its length is equal to the first leg a of (b).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2-2.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is almost completed in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price thrust after the skewed triangle has reached 100% mark, confirming the unique feature of the horizontal extended corrections (see part 3.8 of my book and Daily-201107).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 21, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:14 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The supposition about possible short-term trading against the dollar was confirmed (see Daily-201107 and Daily-211107). It is probable that the price will complete the ending of this movement this week and will form a reversal in the favor of the dollar.
Wave countings of the European currencies on big time-frames are not given in this article. It was done intentionally as today an article, in which the updated scenarios of the dollar’s implacable decline will be considered, will be published in the section Wave Analysis.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price thrust after the horizontal triangle has reached 100% mark, confirming the unique feature of the horizontal extended corrections (see part 3.8 of my book and Daily-201107 and Daily-211107).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price thrust after the horizontal triangle has reached 100% mark, confirming the unique feature of the horizontal extended corrections (see part 3.8 of my book and Daily-201107 and Daily-211107).
Downward wedge (a) may be forming. The critical level for this scenario is the ending of the wave ii of the supposed wedge.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant 2-2.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is almost completed in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 60 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant 3-2.

Price thrust after the horizontal triangle has reached 100% mark, confirming the unique feature of the horizontal extended corrections (see part 3.8 of my book and Daily-201107 and Daily-211107).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 22, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 06:15 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
1) The domination of the impulsive nature of the U.S. dollar’s decline was considered in the yesterda’s article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.
2) On Tuesday a short-term trading forecast was published (refer to Daily-201107). Those who followed the recommendations may lock in a profit of approximately 250 pips in each of the three European pairs.


Fig. v1. The final chart of USD/CHF.

As an example I give the final chart of USD/CHF (see part 3.8 of my book).

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to the article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios . Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

The upward impulse continues developing. Possible scenarios were considered in detailed in the article mentioned at the beginning of the forecast.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to the article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios . Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Corrective wave 4 may be forming. It is difficult to say so far what shape it will assume, but it isn’t excluded that a downward wedge [a] is forming. The critical level for this sceanrio is the ending of the wave (ii) of the supposed wedge.
The possible scenarios were considered in detailed in the article mentioned at the beginning of the forecast.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 720 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

The downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C may be ending in accordance with the scenario considered in Monthly-1107.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to the article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios . Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

The downward impulse continues forming. The possible scenarios were considered in detailed in the article mentioned at the beginning of the forecast.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 23, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:24 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Recent domination of the impulsive character of USD fall was considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] has started. Though the alternate scenario in the upper part of the chart has not been annulled yet. The main difference between these variants is in the depth of the correction.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, price thrust after the triangle (wave v) has been completed. It is too early to speak about the nature and depth of the possible correction.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 is forming. It is difficult to say what shape it will assume. It may be either a double or triple zigzag. Though downward wedge [a] may be forming as well (see the next chart).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly correction [x] of the downtrend is completed. If the supposition is correct downtrend will keep forming in the nearest future.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 720 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is almost completed in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] has started. Though the alternate scenario in the lower part of the chart has not been annulled yet. The main difference between these variants is in the depth of the correction.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, price thrust after the skewed triangle (wave [5]) has been completed. It is too early to speak about the nature and depth of the possible correction.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 26, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:24 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Correction becomes urgent for the pairs under consideration. Its depth will specify further price behaviour. Recent domination of the impulsive character of USD fall was considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] continues. Though the alternate scenario in the upper part of the chart has not been annulled yet. The main difference between these variants is in the depth of the correction.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Initial waves of the downward or sideways correction are forming. Supposedly, wave [2] is almost completed.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It is difficult to say what shape it will assume. It may be either a double or triple zigzag. Though downward wedge [a] may be forming as well (see the next chart).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly correction [x] of the downtrend is completed. In this case price should not overcome its ending. If the supposition is correct downtrend will keep forming in the nearest future.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 720 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is completed in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] has started. Though the alternate scenario in the lower part of the chart has not been annulled yet. The main difference between these variants is in the depth of the correction.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Initial waves of the upward or sideways correction are forming. Supposedly, wave ii is almost completed.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 27, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:26 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
The depth of the forming correction will specify further price behaviour. Recent domination of the impulsive character of USD fall was considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] continues. Though the alternate scenario in the upper part of the chart has not been annulled yet. The main difference between these variants is in the depth of the correction.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Initial waves of the downward or sideways correction are forming. Supposedly, a sequence of waves 1-2, 1-2 is forming.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It is difficult to say what shape it will assume. It may be either a double or triple zigzag. Though downward wedge [a] may be forming as well (see the next chart).

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Wave [y] may be assuming the shape of the zigzag. If the supposition is correct downtrend will keep forming in the nearest future.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 720 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is completed in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Up to the moment uptrend has formed a proportional zigzag. In the long run this knot may transform easily into an upward wedge or a sequence of waves 1-2, 1-2.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] continues. Though the alternate scenario in the lower part of the chart has not been annulled yet. The main difference between these variants is in the depth of the correction.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Initial waves of the upward or sideways correction are forming. Supposedly, a sequence of waves 1-2, 1-2 is forming.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 28, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:26 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
It seems that the worries, i.e. alternate scenarios, have been proved. That is why for those who followed my trading recommendations (see Daily-271107) and did not take profit yesterday it is better to close positions in favor of the dollar today. Recent domination of the impulsive character of USD fall was considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Downward impulse did not manage to form. Instead of it we have a downward zigzag that may be either a part of supposed wave [A] of iv or a whole wave iv.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Judging by the relative size of the formed zigzag its length and position inside the trend channel we may suppose that it is a part of supposed wave iv, its wave [A] of iv.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It is difficult to say what shape it will assume. It may be either a double or triple zigzag.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Wave [x] may keep forming. It may be assuming the shape of the double (or triple) zigzag.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 720 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 720 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly downward wave (iii) of [iii] of C is completed in accordance with the scenario, considered in Monthly-1107 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, upward double zigzag has formed. It may be either a part of correction a of (iv) or a whole wave (iv).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Upward impulse did not manage to form. Instead of it we have an upward zigzag that may be either a part of supposed wave [A] of iv or a whole wave iv.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Judging by the relative size of the formed zigzag its length and position inside the trend channel we may suppose that it is a part of supposed wave iv, its wave [A] of iv.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 29, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:27 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
In this article adjusted variants of the wave counting are given. Recent domination of the impulsive character of USD fall was considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant downward wedge (a) of [iv] is forming.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, wave [x] of 4 is completed, having assumed the shape of the double zigzag. Downward zigzag [y] of 4 is forming.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Annual-07(2) and Monthly-1107. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on the daily chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on the daily chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Judging by the fact that the price is moving synchronously with the European currencies we may expect forming of the downward wave C of (B) in the shape of the diagonal triangle according to the scenario considered in Monthly-1107 and The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Unlike the European currencies the pattern of the supposed wave (a) of [iv] is not clear yet, though it may assume the shape of the impulse.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a marking variant upward impulse (a) of [iv] is forming.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
November 30, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:28 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Local trend in favor of the dollar is forming. Its possible perspectives for several following months were considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios and Monthly-1207.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. Its projected depth may be around 38% and it may reach 1.43 mark, forming the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see Monthly-1207 and picture 2.8 Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of the FOREX Market).

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [iv] is forming in the shape of the downward wedge. If the supposition is correct after corrective wave (b) profitable price fall may be expected.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag with a possible target around 2.03.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [y] of 4 is forming in the shape of the downward impulse. If the supposition is correct after corrective wave (b) of [y] profitable price fall may be expected.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

Judging by the fact that the price is moving synchronously with the European currencies we may expect forming of the downward diagonal triangle of JPY. Supposedly, its corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the zigzag with a possible target around 114.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [iv] is forming in the shape of the upward impulse. If the supposition is correct after corrective wave (b) profitable price rise may be expected.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. Its projected depth may be around 50% and it may reach 1.16 mark, forming the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see Monthly-1207 and picture 2.8 Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of the FOREX Market).

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [iv] is forming in the shape of the upward impulse. If the supposition is correct after corrective wave (b) profitable price rise may be expected.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 3, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:28 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
Local trend in favor of the dollar is forming. Its possible perspectives for several following months were considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios and Monthly-1207.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. Its projected depth may be around 38% and it may reach 1.43 mark, forming the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see Monthly-1207 and picture 2.8 Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of the FOREX Market).

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [iv] has formed in the shape of the downward wedge. Its completion has not been confirmed yet, in the nearest future upward correction (b) is expected to form.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag with a possible target around 2.03.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [y] of 4 has formed in the shape of the downward impulse. If the supposition is correct after corrective wave (b) of [y] profitable price fall may be expected.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] of the downward diagonal triangle keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the zigzag with a possible target around 114.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [iv] has formed in the shape of the upward impulse. If the supposition is correct after corrective wave (b) profitable price rise may be expected.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. Its projected depth may be around 50% and it may reach 1.16 mark, forming the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see Monthly-1207 and picture 2.8 Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of the FOREX Market).

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (a) of [iv] has formed in the shape of the upward impulse. Its completion is not confirmed yet, in the nearest future downward correction (b) is expected.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 4, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:29 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
1) USD strengthening is expected to continue. Possible perspectives of prices movement for several following months were considered in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios and Monthly-1207.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. Its projected depth may be around 38% and it may reach 1.43 mark, forming the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see Monthly-1207 and picture 2.8 Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of the FOREX Market).

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (b) of [iv] is forming in the shape of the upward zigzag. At the same time this zigzag a-b-c may turn out to be just a part of correction (b).
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave 4 keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the double zigzag with a possible target around 2.03.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

It is quite possible that corrective wave (b) of [y] has completed in the shape of the truncated zigzag and the first downward wave i of (c) of [y] — in the shape of the wedge. If the supposition is correct signs of possible profitable price fall are obvious (see pictures 2-20 and 3-42 in my book).
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] of the downward diagonal triangle keeps forming. It may be assuming the shape of the zigzag with a possible target around 114.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

According to a wave counting variant wave (b) of [iv] may be completed in the shape of the downward zigzag. At the same time this zigzag a-b-c may turn out to be just a part of correction (b).
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Supposedly, corrective wave [iv] keeps forming. Its projected depth may be around 50% and it may reach 1.16 mark, forming the so-called Elliott's double retracement (see Monthly-1207 and picture 2.8 Elliott’s Code: Wave Analysis of the FOREX Market).

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

According to a wave counting marking wave (b) of [iv] may be almost completed in the shape of the downward zigzag. At the same time this zigzag a-b-c may turn out to be just a part of correction (b).
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 5, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:43 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
2) Those traders who opened position following yesterday's recommendations can take profit equal to more than 600 pips (see Daily-051207).

1. Current wave picture On the one hand the wave picture forming from the end of November in favor of the dollar is almost completed. According to a wave counting marking it may be the fourth impulse wave, that supposes that in the nearest future USD will start falling again. This variant is given in pictures 1..4 below. Confirmatory levels for this scenario are also given there.
Disadvantage of this variant is that EUR, CHF and JPY have not reached the expected levels. Though this fact may signal that USD weakening is highly probable.
According to the alternate variants in pictures 5..8 only the first sub-wave of the fourth corrective wave is completing, that is USD strengthening may continue. Critical levels for the alternate variant are given in the charts.



Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart of EUR/USD. Variant v.imp.1.



Figure 2. Wave counting on 480 min chart of GBP/USD. Variant v.imp.1.



Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart of USD/JPY. Variant v.imp.1.



Figure 4. Wave counting on 480 min chart of USD/CHF. Variant v.imp.1.


2. Possible alternate scenarios
















It will be clear in the nearest future which variant the price will prefer.

Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 5, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:44 | 显示全部楼层
Introduction
1) Yesterday two possible scenarios of possible price movement were considered (see Daily-061207). We should wait for the price to choose one of them.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

The fourth wave [iv] may be completed. It worries me that the depth of the correction has not reached the expected levels. In this case the alternate variant in the upper part of the chart or supposition that only a part of correction [iv] has completed becomes urgent.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

It is not clear yet how upward movement will continue, either in the shape of the correction or another fall of USD. Those who want to catch the very beginning of a new trend may risk and open long positions.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

The fourth wave 4 may be completed already.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

At the same time it is not clear yet how upward movement will continue, either in the shape of the correction or another USD fall. Those who want to catch the very beginning of a new trend may risk and open long positions.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

The fourth wave [iv] of the diagonal triangle may be completed. It worries me that the depth of the correction has not reached the expected levels. In this case the alternate variant in the upper part of the chart becomes urgent. It supposes that the completed wave construction is only a part of correction [iv].

Figure 6. Wave counting on 60 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

It is not clear yet how downward movement will continue, either in the shape of the correction or another fall of USD. Those who want to catch the very beginning of a new trend may risk and open short positions.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

The fourth wave [iv] may be completed. It worries me that the depth of the correction has not reached the expected levels. In this case the alternate variant in the lower part of the chart or supposition that only a part of correction [iv] has completed becomes urgent.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

It is not clear yet how downward movement will continue, either in the shape of the correction or another fall of USD. Those who want to catch the very beginning of a new trend may risk and open short positions.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 7, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:45 | 显示全部楼层
IntroductionOn Friday price movement of the pairs under consideration was moderate and it did not make the wave picture clearer, that is why the variety of wave counting markings, considered in Daily-071207, remains valid.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Price movement against the dollar remains preferable until the critical level is broken. At the same time the critical level breakout may be a good signal for short positions opening.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 2 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Price movement against the dollar remains preferable until the critical level is broken. At the same time the critical level breakout may be a good signal for short positions opening.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

Price has not broken the upward trend channel of wave (с)?, though the fact that the impulse has formed almost a complete set of waves and its proportionality suppose that it will complete in the nearest future or an upward extension will form and the marking will be adjusted later.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Price movement against the dollar remains preferable until the critical level is broken. At the same time the critical level breakout may be a good signal for long positions opening.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 10, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 07:46 | 显示全部楼层
IntroductionThe wave picture is still multi-directional. Therefore those who have opened positions following my recommendations (see Daily-071207) should move the stop loss levels or close positions after the finishing price thrust with the total profit about ~500 pips.

1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

As the fourth wave [iv] has not reached the expected levels (1.43) it may keep forming in the shape of the downward zigzag.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

If the supposition is correct once corrective wave (b) completes a profitable price fall may be in store for us.
2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Downward correction may be understood differently, it is not clear yet whether wave 4 is finished or not.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

At the same time the nearest expected price movement is upward as after a horizontal triangle usually there is a final price thrust approximately at the triangle height.
3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 5 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

Supposedly the fourth wave [iv] of the diagonal triangle is almost completed.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

If the supposition is correct after the skewed triangle iv of (c) of [iv] final price thrust upwards should be expected at approximately the triangle height.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 7 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 7. Wave counting on 480 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

As the fourth wave [iv] has not reached the expected levels (1.16) it may keep forming in the shape of the upward zigzag.

Figure 8. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

If the supposition is correct once corrective wave (b) completes a profitable price rise may be in store for us.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 11, 2007
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hefeiddd
 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-21 08:12 | 显示全部楼层
IntroductionThe wave picture of the pairs under consideration is still multi-directional. Participants of the Forex market may be still under the effect of the fact that the Fed has cut the interest rates by 0.25%.
1. EUR/USDFor survey wave counting of EUR refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 1 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.


Figure 1. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.


2. GBP/USDFor survey wave counting of GBP refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 3 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 2. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Wave [ii] may be completed. If the supposition is correct downward zigzag [z] should be expected to form.

Figure 3. Wave counting on 15 min chart.

Yesterday I mentioned the final price thrust after continuous horizontal corrections and recommended to use this thrust (see Daily-111207 and part 3.8 of my book). GBP wave [5] of c thrust has confirmed it.
3. 3. USD/JPYFor survey wave counting of JPY refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 4 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 480 min chart.

Figure 4. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.diag.1.

Wave [iv] may be completed. If the supposition is correct downward zigzag [v] should be expected to form.

Figure 5. Wave counting on 20 min chart.

Yesterday I mentioned the final price thrust after continuous horizontal corrections and recommended to use this thrust (see Daily-111207 and part 3.8 of my book).
Note that after the skewed triangle JPY has formed the final thrust in the shape of the diagonal triangle [5] of v. This is quite a rare combination of patterns. Though even in this case the price has covered the distance approximately equal to the height of the skewed triangle.
4. USD/CHFFor survey wave counting of CHF refer to Monthly-1207 and in article The Impulsive Decline of the Dollar as One of the Possible Scenarios. Refer to Figure 6 for the wave counting draft of this currency on 120 min chart.

Figure 6. Wave counting on 120 min chart. Variant v.imp.1.

Taking into account the facts the the wave construction is not completed and correction (b) is not deep it is quite reasonable to assume that it is not completed yet.
Note
Given possible trading plans are purely informational purpose only and they should not be considered as trading guides or an invitation to make a transaction.

Reference:

Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com
December 12, 2007
When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari IDC Corp. is obligatory
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