puncking 发表于 2014-5-24 22:30 static/image/common/back.gif
帝都13号哥斯拉，这个还是挺值得期待的。
难道是同道中人？
silicium 发表于 2014-5-24 19:07 static/image/common/back.gif
周末福利 ~
哇， 感谢SI分享这么好的资料给大家！:handshake
西班牙之恋 发表于 2014-5-24 22:49 static/image/common/back.gif
难道是同道中人？
俺喜欢看电影，一个人都去看，哈哈。
最近还在追美剧，唉，国内的真心没法看啊。。。:shutup:
BTW，阿三棒子这样的电影人拍的东西都比大陆的好，真心接受不了，前段时间看了几个棒子电影，感觉挺好的，更不要说那个阿三哥拍的三傻了。
puncking 发表于 2014-5-25 00:41 static/image/common/back.gif
俺喜欢看电影，一个人都去看，哈哈。
最近还在追美剧，唉，国内的真心没法看啊。。。
BTW，阿三 ...
印度其实这些年发展的挺好的 以前国内的爱国主义现在变成一种极端/民族主义了,刻意炫耀历史和攻击其它民族掩盖这些年经济发展的停滞.
韩国更不要说了 人家发展早那么多年,他们的优秀电影人都跑去好莱坞了,只不过韩国国家小 他们找不到给自己撑腰的力量.
这些年国内的反韩反日潮流大多数是经济利益的驱动,只不过是统治者的意志体现而已.
昨天看的bloomberg的报道 喜欢看的可以看下
What China Property Crash? Economists See Growth Bump
China’s biggest homebuilding slump in at least four years isn’t enough to dissuade a majority of economists from predicting real estate will still contribute to 2014 growth. Property controls will be eased, they said in a Bloomberg News survey.
While 12 of 18 economists say China has some national oversupply of housing, only seven say the market is in a bubble state countrywide, according to the survey conducted from May 15 to May 20. Half see bubbles in some cities, and a majority says the loosening of restrictions on home purchases and loans will be limited to a regional level.
New construction has fallen 22 percent and sales have slumped 7.8 percent this year, testing the government’s four-year commitment to curbs targeted at making homes more affordable and its reluctance to enact broader economic stimulus. The slowdown’s depth will have implications for everything from demand for Australian iron ore to land sales that help local governments repay their $3 trillion of debt.
“China won’t fully lose the engine, but the engine will roar less than in the past and will be a more moderate supporter for growth,” said Louis Kuijs, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc’s chief Greater China economist in Hong Kong, who formerly worked at the World Bank.
Central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said China may have housing bubbles in some cities, an issue that’s difficult to resolve with a single nationwide policy. The economy “can still manage something around a 7.5 percent growth rate,” Zhou said in an interview in Rwanda yesterday, referring to the nation’s expansion target for 2014.
Property Stocks
Chinese real-estate companies gained today on speculation the government will ease property curbs. An index of developers listed in Shanghai rose 2.1 percent at the close, the biggest advance since April 22. Poly Real Estate Group Co. surged 4.3 percent.
A manufacturing gauge released yesterday signaled the economy is stabilizing after the government announced tax breaks and faster railway spending to support growth. The preliminary purchasing managers’ index for May from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics unexpectedly rose to a five-month high of 49.7, approaching the expansion-contraction dividing line of 50.
UBS AG has estimated the real-estate industry accounts for more than a quarter of final demand in the economy when including property-generated needs for goods including electric machinery and instruments, chemicals and metals.
‘Doom Mongers’
Five of 17 respondents said the property market will make a net contribution to growth this year of 1 to 2 percentage points, while four said it would add less than 1 point and one analyst projected more than 2 points. Four people said there would be a drag of 1 to 2 points and two projected a subtraction of less than 1 point.
Next year, 10 economists see a net contribution to growth, while five expect a drag.
The nation’s housing market won’t crash like that of the U.S., Japan and Hong Kong, the official Xinhua News Agency said in an article published May 21 that called people forecasting such an outcome “doom mongers.” China will have strong housing demand because of continuing urbanization, speculative buying is less prevalent than it was in Hong Kong and mortgage debt as a proportion of GDP is lower than it was in the U.S., Xinhua said.
“China’s urbanization process is far from being over,” said Xu Gao, chief economist with Everbright Securities Co. in Beijing, who formerly worked for the World Bank. “The housing market is not seeing any structural turning point but rather suffering from a cyclical downturn, and the market can be brought back to life when policies become appropriate.”
New Buildings
That the property market is undergoing a slowdown is of little dispute. Floor space of new residential buildings under construction fell 23.8 percent last month from a year earlier, the steepest drop in figures going back to April 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. April home prices rose in the fewest cities in 1 1/2 years, government statistics showed on May 18.
While a majority of respondents said China has an oversupply of housing, three said the current national supply is in balance with demand, even if some cities are facing issues, while two said the current supply is too small to meet demand.
Not everyone is optimistic. Moody’s Investors Service this week revised its credit outlook for Chinese developers to negative from stable. Ren Zeping, a researcher at the State Council’s Development Research Center, said economic growth may slow to about 5 percent in two to three years, the state-run Shanghai Securities News reported yesterday.
‘Biggest’ Risk
“Real-estate investment is the biggest macro risk,” said Zhu Haibin, chief China economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Hong Kong, who sees an investment slump, including the effects on related industries, dragging growth down about 0.5 percentage point in 2014. “The government should do something to contain the downside risk. It’s probably time to remove the home purchase restrictions policy in most cities.”
At the same time, the probability is low that the government will ease curbs at the national level, Zhu said.
The world’s second-largest economy grew 7.4 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.7 percent pace in the previous period, according to government figures. The median projection of economists for full-year growth of 7.3 percent would mark the weakest pace since 1990.
There are signs that the government is taking action to limit the real estate slump. The central bank this month called on the biggest lenders to accelerate the granting of home mortgages, while Southern Weekly reported yesterday that the housing ministry has allowed most cities to adjust home-buying curbs as they see fit.
“The government will be quite keen to avoid a very large downturn,” RBS’s Kuijs said. While real estate amplifies downward pressures on the economy, “it doesn’t have to be the end of the world,” he said.
给一个小故事，请楼主点评
http://bbs.macd.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=2497095&fromuid=3605728
谢感共 发表于 2014-5-25 08:08 static/image/common/back.gif
给一个小故事，请楼主点评
http://bbs.macd.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=2497095&fromuid=3605728
...
股票交易准则101买跌卖涨
这里太刻意去表达观点 虚构了一个本身并不很现实的环境 和尚一定抄到了底 而且和尚有 多余的流动资金可以使用
本帖最后由 silicium 于 2014-5-25 08:42 编辑
事实上 老和尚所处的环境是极端虚幻的
1. 股价不断创新低的过程按照道理来说 非专业人士是不能抄底的会抄的裤衩都输没正如中国股市 买到6124的 解套要靠下面两三代人才能成功
2. 文中刻意夸大了老和尚观察散户投资者心态而做判断而事实是通常在散户缴枪后还有庄家之间的搏杀要持续很久 这个时候杀入经常会 被套
3. 股市的基本投机原则 再好的股票 要买回调, 涨的快的时候到顶, 天天去抓涨停的属于最愚蠢的投资者虽然也有成功的 你算下资金收益比例就知道这个的坏处了走的远的永远是避险做得好的 而不是追求利益最大化的
对老和尚来说,大资本持有者永远都是这样操作别人恐惧我买入 别人贪婪我卖出散户中能安心的人太少
本帖最后由 -夜云黑月- 于 2014-5-25 10:48 编辑
即使是债券市场也存在风险。超日债民。
这两天球赛看的爽啊，半夜看欧冠，上午看NBA，真是精彩，就是头有点晕。。。:dizzy:
发个帖子睡觉 朋友圈子里办的交易培训,交钱想上都不成,得先写个报告,里面说明白为什么要接受你作为学生,你能给圈子带来什么实质性好处,然后才谈钱的事,那种想拿钱学东西的土豪一点戏都没有:#CHUHAN
问一下si
你的交易系统里是否存在相对完美的交易区域？
买入信号是出来了，但是并非最想做的图形。
silicium 发表于 2014-5-25 11:39
发个帖子睡觉 朋友圈子里办的交易培训,交钱想上都不成,得先写个报告,里面说明白为什么要接受你作为学生, ...
问个问题？楼上
songjian111 发表于 2014-5-25 18:01 static/image/common/back.gif
问一下si
你的交易系统里是否存在相对完美的交易区域？
买入信号是出来了，但是并非最想做的图形。
我不知道啥是最想做的图形海隆软件? 金地集团? 科冕木业? 量子高科
我生活没有激情很多年了 我也不知道自己想干啥 大多数情况是在做机械的无选股的买卖...
silicium 发表于 2014-5-25 18:13 static/image/common/back.gif
我不知道啥是最想做的图形海隆软件? 金地集团? 科冕木业? 量子高科
那是否会有这种情况 明明认为一个星期后行情才会走出来
结果提前动作了。看上去并不完美了。
好像之前0618提到过时间改变形态
1984和1974是同一个目标
但是时间变了
我很尊重 0618总版, 但是时间改变形态的例子少之又少如5月21号的缺口 属于大基金搏杀算法 构造出短期假行情 那个期指空军司令不就被套进去了么
不过这种情况少之又少 一年能碰上一次就不错了 大盘指数. 个股可能会有 听说不少庄家不守规矩.特别是资金少的庄
时间改变价格形态是一个伪命题就像今年年初的这波下跌一样所谓时间改变价格形态 更多的是操作者对于形态研究不到位.
我很尊重 0618总版, 但是时间改变形态的例子少之又少如5月21号的缺口 属于大基金搏杀算法 构造出短期假行情 那个期指空军司令不就被套进去了么
不过这种情况少之又少 一年能碰上一次就不错了 大盘指数. 个股可能会有 听说不少庄家不守规矩.特别是资金少的庄
时间改变价格形态是一个伪命题就像今年年初的这波下跌一样所谓时间改变价格形态 更多的是操作者对于形态研究不到位.
silicium 发表于 2014-5-25 18:13 static/image/common/back.gif
我不知道啥是最想做的图形海隆软件? 金地集团? 科冕木业? 量子高科
你这种感情状态比较适合做股票啊。 :#DAXIAO