eyou12
发表于 2014-5-24 10:37
不只是看落日,
puncking
发表于 2014-5-24 12:16
silicium 发表于 2014-5-23 23:19 static/image/common/back.gif
总是很喜欢落日的美
SI找个这样的老婆吧。。。
wwhzbh7912
发表于 2014-5-24 12:36
silicium 发表于 2014-5-23 23:19 static/image/common/back.gif
总是很喜欢落日的美
你这图片弄的大家周末有无限遐想。:#DAXIAO
rbb288
发表于 2014-5-24 13:12
这大屁股洋马一般人说不定还干不过她:#DAXIAO
maxinfo
发表于 2014-5-24 13:22
呵呵,那是波浪图
最后一跌1919
wwhzbh7912
发表于 2014-5-24 13:43
maxinfo 发表于 2014-5-24 13:22 static/image/common/back.gif
呵呵,那是波浪图
最后一跌1919
如何看出来的呢?
maxinfo
发表于 2014-5-24 13:59
wwhzbh7912 发表于 2014-5-24 13:43 static/image/common/back.gif
如何看出来的呢?
1919,我自己猜的
波浪图嘛,自己看他那个地平线。女人的头相当于6124
silicium
发表于 2014-5-24 19:07
周末福利 ~
兔子公主
发表于 2014-5-24 20:47
小试牛刀 宝馨科技 准备入手
光頭強
发表于 2014-5-24 20:59
下载学习,谢谢。
西班牙之恋
发表于 2014-5-24 22:02
x战警 逆战未来
满好看的
刚看完回家
爽~
等6月17号的新哥斯拉
期待啊
puncking
发表于 2014-5-24 22:29
本帖最后由 puncking 于 2014-5-24 22:31 编辑
不明觉厉。。。
puncking
发表于 2014-5-24 22:30
西班牙之恋 发表于 2014-5-24 22:02 static/image/common/back.gif
x战警 逆战未来
满好看的
刚看完回家
帝都13号哥斯拉,这个还是挺值得期待的。
西班牙之恋
发表于 2014-5-24 22:49
puncking 发表于 2014-5-24 22:30 static/image/common/back.gif
帝都13号哥斯拉,这个还是挺值得期待的。
难道是同道中人?
wwhzbh7912
发表于 2014-5-24 23:03
silicium 发表于 2014-5-24 19:07 static/image/common/back.gif
周末福利 ~
哇, 感谢SI分享这么好的资料给大家!:handshake
puncking
发表于 2014-5-25 00:41
西班牙之恋 发表于 2014-5-24 22:49 static/image/common/back.gif
难道是同道中人?
俺喜欢看电影,一个人都去看,哈哈。
最近还在追美剧,唉,国内的真心没法看啊。。。:shutup:
BTW,阿三棒子这样的电影人拍的东西都比大陆的好,真心接受不了,前段时间看了几个棒子电影,感觉挺好的,更不要说那个阿三哥拍的三傻了。
silicium
发表于 2014-5-25 01:05
puncking 发表于 2014-5-25 00:41 static/image/common/back.gif
俺喜欢看电影,一个人都去看,哈哈。
最近还在追美剧,唉,国内的真心没法看啊。。。
BTW,阿三 ...
印度其实这些年发展的挺好的 以前国内的爱国主义现在变成一种极端/民族主义了,刻意炫耀历史和攻击其它民族掩盖这些年经济发展的停滞.
韩国更不要说了 人家发展早那么多年,他们的优秀电影人都跑去好莱坞了,只不过韩国国家小 他们找不到给自己撑腰的力量.
silicium
发表于 2014-5-25 01:07
这些年国内的反韩反日潮流大多数是经济利益的驱动,只不过是统治者的意志体现而已.
silicium
发表于 2014-5-25 02:37
昨天看的bloomberg的报道 喜欢看的可以看下
What China Property Crash? Economists See Growth Bump
China’s biggest homebuilding slump in at least four years isn’t enough to dissuade a majority of economists from predicting real estate will still contribute to 2014 growth. Property controls will be eased, they said in a Bloomberg News survey.
While 12 of 18 economists say China has some national oversupply of housing, only seven say the market is in a bubble state countrywide, according to the survey conducted from May 15 to May 20. Half see bubbles in some cities, and a majority says the loosening of restrictions on home purchases and loans will be limited to a regional level.
New construction has fallen 22 percent and sales have slumped 7.8 percent this year, testing the government’s four-year commitment to curbs targeted at making homes more affordable and its reluctance to enact broader economic stimulus. The slowdown’s depth will have implications for everything from demand for Australian iron ore to land sales that help local governments repay their $3 trillion of debt.
“China won’t fully lose the engine, but the engine will roar less than in the past and will be a more moderate supporter for growth,” said Louis Kuijs, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc’s chief Greater China economist in Hong Kong, who formerly worked at the World Bank.
Central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan said China may have housing bubbles in some cities, an issue that’s difficult to resolve with a single nationwide policy. The economy “can still manage something around a 7.5 percent growth rate,” Zhou said in an interview in Rwanda yesterday, referring to the nation’s expansion target for 2014.
Property Stocks
Chinese real-estate companies gained today on speculation the government will ease property curbs. An index of developers listed in Shanghai rose 2.1 percent at the close, the biggest advance since April 22. Poly Real Estate Group Co. surged 4.3 percent.
A manufacturing gauge released yesterday signaled the economy is stabilizing after the government announced tax breaks and faster railway spending to support growth. The preliminary purchasing managers’ index for May from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics unexpectedly rose to a five-month high of 49.7, approaching the expansion-contraction dividing line of 50.
UBS AG has estimated the real-estate industry accounts for more than a quarter of final demand in the economy when including property-generated needs for goods including electric machinery and instruments, chemicals and metals.
‘Doom Mongers’
Five of 17 respondents said the property market will make a net contribution to growth this year of 1 to 2 percentage points, while four said it would add less than 1 point and one analyst projected more than 2 points. Four people said there would be a drag of 1 to 2 points and two projected a subtraction of less than 1 point.
Next year, 10 economists see a net contribution to growth, while five expect a drag.
The nation’s housing market won’t crash like that of the U.S., Japan and Hong Kong, the official Xinhua News Agency said in an article published May 21 that called people forecasting such an outcome “doom mongers.” China will have strong housing demand because of continuing urbanization, speculative buying is less prevalent than it was in Hong Kong and mortgage debt as a proportion of GDP is lower than it was in the U.S., Xinhua said.
“China’s urbanization process is far from being over,” said Xu Gao, chief economist with Everbright Securities Co. in Beijing, who formerly worked for the World Bank. “The housing market is not seeing any structural turning point but rather suffering from a cyclical downturn, and the market can be brought back to life when policies become appropriate.”
New Buildings
That the property market is undergoing a slowdown is of little dispute. Floor space of new residential buildings under construction fell 23.8 percent last month from a year earlier, the steepest drop in figures going back to April 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. April home prices rose in the fewest cities in 1 1/2 years, government statistics showed on May 18.
While a majority of respondents said China has an oversupply of housing, three said the current national supply is in balance with demand, even if some cities are facing issues, while two said the current supply is too small to meet demand.
Not everyone is optimistic. Moody’s Investors Service this week revised its credit outlook for Chinese developers to negative from stable. Ren Zeping, a researcher at the State Council’s Development Research Center, said economic growth may slow to about 5 percent in two to three years, the state-run Shanghai Securities News reported yesterday.
‘Biggest’ Risk
“Real-estate investment is the biggest macro risk,” said Zhu Haibin, chief China economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Hong Kong, who sees an investment slump, including the effects on related industries, dragging growth down about 0.5 percentage point in 2014. “The government should do something to contain the downside risk. It’s probably time to remove the home purchase restrictions policy in most cities.”
At the same time, the probability is low that the government will ease curbs at the national level, Zhu said.
The world’s second-largest economy grew 7.4 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, slowing from a 7.7 percent pace in the previous period, according to government figures. The median projection of economists for full-year growth of 7.3 percent would mark the weakest pace since 1990.
There are signs that the government is taking action to limit the real estate slump. The central bank this month called on the biggest lenders to accelerate the granting of home mortgages, while Southern Weekly reported yesterday that the housing ministry has allowed most cities to adjust home-buying curbs as they see fit.
“The government will be quite keen to avoid a very large downturn,” RBS’s Kuijs said. While real estate amplifies downward pressures on the economy, “it doesn’t have to be the end of the world,” he said.
谢感共
发表于 2014-5-25 08:08
给一个小故事,请楼主点评
http://bbs.macd.cn/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=2497095&fromuid=3605728